Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gimnasia La Plata v Banfield

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 17:30 UTC

Score final : Gimnasia La Plata 2–2 Banfield

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Prévision 56.75%1.76cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -5.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.85%56.80%56.72%58.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.641.641.7064.52%61.13%60.98%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Banfield (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.85%5.60cote équitable
EV +4.24%
Avantage +0.726%
Kelly +0.876%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 5.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.47%17.85%17.88%19.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.165.205.8421.74%19.39%19.23%17.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.40%3.94cote équitable
EV +0.588%
Avantage +0.149%
Kelly +0.199%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.27%25.35%25.40%26.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.373.633.603.9629.67%27.53%27.78%25.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gimnasia La Plata (Local) : 56.75% ; Banfield (Visiteur) : 17.85% ; Match nul : 25.40%. Pour Banfield (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.60. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.84, soit une espérance positive de +4.24%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.47%EV +4.24%E +0.726%K +0.876%G +0.037%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.28%EV -7.03%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.09%EV +0.848%E +0.150%K +0.182%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.936%E -0.240%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.09%EV +0.848%E +0.150%K +0.182%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.936%E -0.240%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 17:04
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.09%EV +0.848%E +0.150%K +0.182%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.936%E -0.240%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 17:04
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.48%EV -1.47%E -0.267%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.37%EV +0.588%E +0.149%K +0.199%G +0.001%3.6%2026-09-19 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -1.83%E -0.333%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:54
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -1.83%E -0.333%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.07%EV -2.72%E -0.499%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 17:23
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -3.61%E -0.669%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -3.61%E -0.669%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 17:24
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -3.61%E -0.669%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.48%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 17:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -7.18%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:09
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.93%E -4.23%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.18%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.53%E -2.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:25
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.53%E -2.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:24
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.48%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 17:04
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -6.93%E -4.23%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 16:00
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 17:24
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -12.04%E -7.77%K -21.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -12.54%E -2.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -12.37%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-19 17:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -11.47%E -7.35%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.54%E -2.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-19 17:19
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.85%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 17:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.75%EV -10.34%E -6.54%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.77%EV -10.90%E -6.94%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 25.98%EV -14.40%E -4.27%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-19 17:08
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -16.11%E -3.43%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -12.37%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -16.11%E -3.43%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -12.37%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.99%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -17.89%E -3.89%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-19 17:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-09-19 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-09-19 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-09-19 17:25
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-19 16:55
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.00%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-09-19 17:25