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Gimnasia La Plata v Banfield
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Predicción 56.75%1.76momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -5.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.85%56.80%56.72%58.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.641.7064.52%61.13%60.98%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Banfield (Visitante)
Predicción 17.85%5.60momio equitativo
EV +4.24%
Ventaja +0.726%
Kelly +0.876%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.47%17.85%17.88%19.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.165.205.8421.74%19.39%19.23%17.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.40%3.94momio equitativo
EV +0.588%
Ventaja +0.149%
Kelly +0.199%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.27%25.35%25.40%26.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.373.633.603.9629.67%27.53%27.78%25.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 56.75%; Banfield (Visitante): 17.85%; Empate: 25.40%. Para Banfield (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.60. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.84, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.24%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.47%EV +4.24%E +0.726%K +0.876%G +0.037% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.28%EV -7.03%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.09%EV +0.848%E +0.150%K +0.182%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.936%E -0.240%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.09%EV +0.848%E +0.150%K +0.182%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.936%E -0.240%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 17:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.09%EV +0.848%E +0.150%K +0.182%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.936%E -0.240%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 17:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.48%EV -1.47%E -0.267%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.37%EV +0.588%E +0.149%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -1.83%E -0.333%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -1.83%E -0.333%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.07%EV -2.72%E -0.499%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 17:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -3.61%E -0.669%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -3.61%E -0.669%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -3.61%E -0.669%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.48%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -7.18%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.93%E -4.23%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.18%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.53%E -2.07%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.53%E -2.07%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.48%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 17:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -6.93%E -4.23%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -12.04%E -7.77%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -12.54%E -2.56%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -12.37%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-19 17:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -11.47%E -7.35%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.54%E -2.56%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.85%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.75%EV -10.34%E -6.54%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.77%EV -10.90%E -6.94%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 25.98%EV -14.40%E -4.27%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-19 17:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -16.11%E -3.43%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -12.37%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -16.11%E -3.43%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -12.37%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.99%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -17.89%E -3.89%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.00% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |