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Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v River Plate
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)
Prediction 12.47%8.02fair odd
EV +12.99%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.209%
assuming max odds 9.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.57%12.45%12.52%14.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.477.509.0616.00%13.38%13.33%11.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
River Plate (Visit)
Prediction 61.66%1.62fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -5.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%61.68%61.63%63.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.501.511.5774.63%66.75%66.23%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.87%3.87fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.798%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.70%25.87%25.85%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.553.543.7532.26%28.21%28.29%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 12.47%; River Plate (Visit): 61.66%; Draw: 25.87%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.02. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.06I 11.04%NM 10.57%EV +12.99%E +1.43%K +1.61%G +0.209% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.21%EV -5.04%E -3.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.94%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 20:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.69%EV +11.00%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.153% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.29%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.69%EV +11.00%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.153% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.29%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 20:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.77I 11.40%NM 10.97%EV +9.38%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.113% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.14%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 20:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +6.01%E +0.707%K +0.801%G +0.048% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -9.36%E -6.37%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV +1.02%E +0.126%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.40%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.80%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.95%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.19%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.87%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.37%EV -5.22%E -0.686%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.86%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.37%EV -5.22%E -0.686%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.86%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 20:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.99%E -0.798%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 16:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.03%EV -13.68%E -9.77%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.16%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-22 20:23 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.09%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 62.08%EV -17.38%E -12.97%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -19.81%E -6.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -9.58%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -9.58%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 20:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.09%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 19:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.64%EV -13.06%E -9.26%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -13.34%E -3.98%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-22 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.92%EV -13.95%E -2.02%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.47%EV -10.59%E -7.31%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.61%EV -9.98%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -3.19%E -2.04%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.30%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 20:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.81%EV -5.04%E -3.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.76%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 20:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -18.93%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.95%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -18.93%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.95%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -18.93%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.04%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 20:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -22.05%E -3.53%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.74%EV -10.59%E -7.31%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-22 20:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 20:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 20:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.77% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-03-22 15:40 |