L’École des cotes

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v River Plate

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 20:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Prévision 12.47%8.02cote équitable
EV +12.99%
Avantage +1.43%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.209%

avec la cote maximale 9.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.57%12.45%12.52%14.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.257.477.509.0616.00%13.38%13.33%11.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

River Plate (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.66%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -5.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.95%61.68%61.63%63.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.501.511.5774.63%66.75%66.23%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.87%3.87cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.798%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.70%25.87%25.85%27.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.553.543.7532.26%28.21%28.29%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet9.06I 11.04%NM 10.57%EV +12.99%E +1.43%K +1.61%G +0.209%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.21%EV -5.04%E -3.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.94%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 20:39
LowVig.ag8.90I 11.24%NM 10.69%EV +11.00%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.153%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.29%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 20:15
BetOnline.ag8.90I 11.24%NM 10.69%EV +11.00%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.153%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.29%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 20:15
Pinnacle8.77I 11.40%NM 10.97%EV +9.38%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.113%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.14%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 20:35
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +6.01%E +0.707%K +0.801%G +0.048%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -9.36%E -6.37%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:25
Marathon Bet8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV +1.02%E +0.126%K +0.144%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 20:40
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.40%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 20:10
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.80%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:40
BetAnything8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.95%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 20:40
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.19%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 20:10
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.87%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:25
NordicBet7.60I 13.16%NM 12.37%EV -5.22%E -0.686%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.86%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 20:25
Betsson7.60I 13.16%NM 12.37%EV -5.22%E -0.686%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.86%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 20:20
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.99%E -0.798%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 20:20
BoyleSports7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.03%EV -13.68%E -9.77%K -34.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 20:25
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.16%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 20:23
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.09%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 62.08%EV -17.38%E -12.97%K -51.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -19.81%E -6.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-22 20:25
BetMGM7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -9.58%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:30
PlayUp7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -9.58%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 20:00
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 20:39
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.09%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 20:00
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 19:59
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.64%EV -13.06%E -9.26%K -31.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -13.34%E -3.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 20:40
Betclic (FR)6.90I 14.49%NM 12.92%EV -13.95%E -2.02%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.47%EV -10.59%E -7.31%K -23.54%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.61%EV -9.98%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:20
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -3.19%E -2.04%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 20:40
Unibet (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.30%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 20:39
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.81%EV -5.04%E -3.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 20:25
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.76%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 20:19
Virgin Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -18.93%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.95%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 20:40
LiveScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -18.93%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.95%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -18.93%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.04%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 20:40
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -22.05%E -3.53%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.74%EV -10.59%E -7.31%K -23.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-03-22 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-03-22 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-03-22 20:30
Matchbook9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-03-22 20:30
Smarkets9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-03-22 20:40
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.77%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-03-22 15:40