A Escola das Odds

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v River Plate

Início: 2026-03-22 20:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Previsão 12.47%8.02odd justa
EV +12.99%
Vantagem +1.43%
Kelly +1.61%
Crescimento +0.209%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.57%12.45%12.52%14.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.257.477.509.0616.00%13.38%13.33%11.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

River Plate (Visitante)

Previsão 61.66%1.62odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -2.04%
Kelly -5.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.95%61.68%61.63%63.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.341.501.511.5774.63%66.75%66.23%63.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.87%3.87odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -0.798%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.70%25.87%25.85%27.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.553.543.7532.26%28.21%28.29%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet9.06I 11.04%NM 10.57%EV +12.99%E +1.43%K +1.61%G +0.209%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.21%EV -5.04%E -3.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.94%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 20:39
LowVig.ag8.90I 11.24%NM 10.69%EV +11.00%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.153%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.29%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 20:15
BetOnline.ag8.90I 11.24%NM 10.69%EV +11.00%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.153%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.29%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 20:15
Pinnacle8.77I 11.40%NM 10.97%EV +9.38%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.113%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.14%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 20:35
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +6.01%E +0.707%K +0.801%G +0.048%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -9.36%E -6.37%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:25
Marathon Bet8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV +1.02%E +0.126%K +0.144%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 20:40
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.40%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 20:10
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.80%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:40
BetAnything8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.95%EV -6.89%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 20:40
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.19%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 20:10
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -0.226%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.87%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:25
NordicBet7.60I 13.16%NM 12.37%EV -5.22%E -0.686%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.86%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 20:25
Betsson7.60I 13.16%NM 12.37%EV -5.22%E -0.686%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.86%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.82%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 20:20
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.99%E -0.798%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 20:20
BoyleSports7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.03%EV -13.68%E -9.77%K -34.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 20:25
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.16%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -15.93%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 20:23
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.09%EV -6.46%E -0.862%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 62.08%EV -17.38%E -12.97%K -51.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -19.81%E -6.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-22 20:25
BetMGM7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -9.58%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:30
PlayUp7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -9.58%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 20:00
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 20:39
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.09%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 20:00
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 19:59
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -12.70%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.64%EV -13.06%E -9.26%K -31.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -13.34%E -3.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 20:40
Betclic (FR)6.90I 14.49%NM 12.92%EV -13.95%E -2.02%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.47%EV -10.59%E -7.31%K -23.54%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.61%EV -9.98%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:20
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -3.19%E -2.04%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 20:40
Unibet (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.30%EV -3.81%E -2.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 20:39
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.81%EV -5.04%E -3.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 20:25
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -15.82%E -2.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.76%EV -8.74%E -5.91%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 20:19
Virgin Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -18.93%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.95%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 20:40
LiveScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -18.93%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.95%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -18.93%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.04%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 20:40
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -22.05%E -3.53%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.74%EV -10.59%E -7.31%K -23.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-03-22 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-03-22 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-03-22 20:30
Matchbook9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-03-22 20:30
Smarkets9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-03-22 20:40
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.77%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-03-22 15:40