Language:English
Estudiantes v Velez Sarsfield BA
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes (Local)
Prediction 42.68%2.34fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.799%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.65%42.73%42.66%43.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.172.202.3052.63%46.16%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit)
Prediction 23.63%4.23fair odd
EV +3.76%
Edge +0.856%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 4.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.88%23.60%23.71%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.913.904.3929.41%25.59%25.64%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.69%2.97fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.38%33.68%33.63%35.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.732.752.8240.82%36.58%36.36%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes (Local): 42.68%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit): 23.63%; Draw: 33.69%. For Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.07%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.88%EV +3.76%E +0.856%K +1.11%G +0.042% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.05%EV -7.70%E -2.81%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.99%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.71%EV +0.685%E +0.161%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -5.01%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.10%E -0.755%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.10%E -0.755%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.03%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.10%E -0.755%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.20%EV -8.04%E -2.94%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-02 22:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 22:07 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -11.74%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -6.35%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -6.35%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-02 22:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.67%E -4.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.01%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.75%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.67%E -4.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.01%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.75%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -11.37%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -11.37%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.96%EV -11.84%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.48%EV -10.06%E -3.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.69%EV -18.91%E -9.95%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.43%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.88%EV -17.47%E -7.13%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -13.73%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.90%EV -13.73%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.53%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%EV -16.10%E -4.53%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.58%EV -14.64%E -7.32%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -19.64%E -5.78%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.38%EV -11.41%E -4.34%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70% | 0.3% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 0.7% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 0.7% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 0.7% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.01% | 2.1% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |