L’École des cotesFrançais
Estudiantes v Velez Sarsfield BA
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Estudiantes (Local)
Prévision 42.68%2.34cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.799%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.65%42.73%42.66%43.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.172.202.3052.63%46.16%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.63%4.23cote équitable
EV +3.76%
Avantage +0.856%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.042%
avec la cote maximale 4.39
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.88%23.60%23.71%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.913.904.3929.41%25.59%25.64%22.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.69%2.97cote équitable
EV -5.01%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -2.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.38%33.68%33.63%35.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.732.752.8240.82%36.58%36.36%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.07%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.88%EV +3.76%E +0.856%K +1.11%G +0.042% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.05%EV -7.70%E -2.81%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.99%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.71%EV +0.685%E +0.161%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -5.01%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.10%E -0.755%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.10%E -0.755%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.03%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.10%E -0.755%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.20%EV -8.04%E -2.94%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-02 22:09 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 22:07 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -11.74%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -6.35%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -6.35%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-02 22:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.67%E -4.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.01%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.75%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.67%E -4.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.01%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.75%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -11.37%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -11.37%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-02 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.96%EV -11.84%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.48%EV -10.06%E -3.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.69%EV -18.91%E -9.95%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.43%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.88%EV -17.47%E -7.13%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -13.73%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.90%EV -13.73%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 14:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.53%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%EV -16.10%E -4.53%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.58%EV -14.64%E -7.32%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -19.64%E -5.78%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.38%EV -11.41%E -4.34%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70% | 0.3% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 0.7% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 0.7% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 0.7% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.01% | 2.1% | 2026-03-02 22:10 |