A Escola das Odds

Estudiantes v Velez Sarsfield BA

Início: 2026-03-02 22:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Estudiantes (Local)

Previsão 42.68%2.34odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -0.799%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.65%42.73%42.66%43.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.172.202.3052.63%46.16%45.45%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante)

Previsão 23.63%4.23odd justa
EV +3.76%
Vantagem +0.856%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.042%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.88%23.60%23.71%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.913.904.3929.41%25.59%25.64%22.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.69%2.97odd justa
EV -5.01%
Vantagem -1.78%
Kelly -2.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.38%33.68%33.63%35.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.732.752.8240.82%36.58%36.36%35.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.07%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.88%EV +3.76%E +0.856%K +1.11%G +0.042%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.05%EV -7.70%E -2.81%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 22:05
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.99%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.71%EV +0.685%E +0.161%K +0.210%G +0.001%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -5.01%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-02 22:05
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 22:00
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 22:00
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 22:05
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.733%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-02 22:05
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.10%E -0.755%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 21:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.10%E -0.755%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-02 22:00
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.03%EV -7.39%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.10%E -0.755%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.20%EV -8.04%E -2.94%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 22:09
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 22:10
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 22:10
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 22:07
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 22:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-02 22:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -11.74%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-02 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 21:50
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -6.35%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 22:00
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -6.35%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 22:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 21:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-02 22:04
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.67%E -4.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.01%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.75%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-02 22:10
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.67%E -4.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.01%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.75%EV -9.05%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-02 22:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-02 21:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -11.37%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 21:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -11.37%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 22:00
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.96%EV -11.84%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.48%EV -10.06%E -3.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-02 21:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-02 21:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-02 21:50
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.69%EV -18.91%E -9.95%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.43%EV -12.55%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.88%EV -17.47%E -7.13%K -12.05%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-02 22:05
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -13.73%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 22:10
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.90%EV -13.73%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.42%E -4.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-02 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.68%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 14:04
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-02 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.53%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%EV -16.10%E -4.53%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-02 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.58%EV -14.64%E -7.32%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -19.64%E -5.78%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.38%EV -11.41%E -4.34%K -7.00%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-02 22:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%0.3%2026-03-02 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%0.7%2026-03-02 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%0.7%2026-03-02 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%0.7%2026-03-02 22:10
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.01%2.1%2026-03-02 22:10