Language:English
Estudiantes v Platense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes (Local)
Prediction 46.93%2.13fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.42%47.00%47.00%49.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.951.972.0855.87%51.24%50.76%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Platense (Visit)
Prediction 21.65%4.62fair odd
EV +0.261%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.072%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.74%21.70%21.62%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.264.254.6325.00%23.45%23.53%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.42%3.18fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.330%
Kelly -0.484%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.58%31.31%31.38%32.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.983.1535.71%33.67%33.61%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes (Local): 46.93%; Platense (Visit): 21.65%; Draw: 31.42%. For Platense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.261%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.87%EV +0.261%E +0.056%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -5.13%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.45%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.02%EV -1.25%E -0.275%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -2.55%E -0.568%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 17:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -11.30%E -5.98%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -2.55%E -0.568%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -1.04%E -0.330%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.64%EV -11.77%E -6.26%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.55%E -0.568%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -1.04%E -0.330%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 17:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -7.64%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -7.64%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -7.64%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.02%EV -6.61%E -3.32%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -13.18%E -7.12%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -2.61%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.80%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.24%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -2.61%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.26%EV -14.59%E -8.02%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.26%EV -14.59%E -8.02%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -7.97%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -8.27%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -7.97%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -8.27%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.97%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.05%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -4.18%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.52%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.52%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.89%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -9.89%E -5.15%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -11.77%E -6.26%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -4.18%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.08%EV -12.24%E -6.55%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.47%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.44%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.88%EV -14.12%E -7.72%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.75%EV -10.47%E -3.67%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.94%EV -16.00%E -8.94%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -12.71%E -6.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.68%EV -12.30%E -3.04%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.13%EV -11.41%E -4.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.38%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.89%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.19%EV -10.83%E -5.70%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -13.38%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 17:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.38%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74% | 1.6% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96% | 2.6% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |