Idioma:Español
Estudiantes v Platense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Estudiantes (Local)
Predicción 46.93%2.13momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.42%47.00%47.00%49.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.791.951.972.0855.87%51.24%50.76%48.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Platense (Visitante)
Predicción 21.65%4.62momio equitativo
EV +0.261%
Ventaja +0.056%
Kelly +0.072%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.74%21.70%21.62%22.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.264.254.6325.00%23.45%23.53%21.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.42%3.18momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.330%
Kelly -0.484%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.58%31.31%31.38%32.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.972.983.1535.71%33.67%33.61%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Estudiantes (Local): 46.93%; Platense (Visitante): 21.65%; Empate: 31.42%. Para Platense (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.62. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.63, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.261%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.87%EV +0.261%E +0.056%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -5.13%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.45%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.02%EV -1.25%E -0.275%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -2.55%E -0.568%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 17:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -11.30%E -5.98%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -2.55%E -0.568%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -1.04%E -0.330%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.64%EV -11.77%E -6.26%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.55%E -0.568%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -1.04%E -0.330%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 17:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -7.64%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -7.64%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -7.64%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.02%EV -6.61%E -3.32%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -13.18%E -7.12%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -2.61%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.80%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.24%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -2.61%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.26%EV -14.59%E -8.02%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.26%EV -14.59%E -8.02%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -7.97%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -8.27%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -7.97%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -8.27%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.97%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.05%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -4.18%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.52%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.52%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.89%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -9.89%E -5.15%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -11.77%E -6.26%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -4.18%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.08%EV -12.24%E -6.55%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.47%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.44%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.88%EV -14.12%E -7.72%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.75%EV -10.47%E -3.67%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.94%EV -16.00%E -8.94%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -12.71%E -6.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.68%EV -12.30%E -3.04%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.13%EV -11.41%E -4.05%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.38%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.89%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.19%EV -10.83%E -5.70%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -13.38%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 17:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.38%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74% | 1.6% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96% | 2.6% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |