默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Estudiantes v Platense

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 17:45 UTC

最终结果: Estudiantes 2–1 Platense

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Estudiantes (主队)

预测 46.93%2.13公平赔率
EV -2.39%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -2.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
45.42%47.00%47.00%49.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.791.951.972.0855.87%51.24%50.76%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Platense (客队)

预测 21.65%4.62公平赔率
EV +0.261%
优势 +0.056%
Kelly +0.072%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.63

博彩公司预测分布
20.74%21.70%21.62%22.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.264.254.6325.00%23.45%23.53%21.60%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.42%3.18公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.330%
Kelly -0.484%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
29.58%31.31%31.38%32.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.972.983.1535.71%33.67%33.61%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Estudiantes (主队):46.93%;Platense (客队):21.65%;平局:31.42%。 对于“Platense (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.62。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.63,对应+0.261%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.87%EV +0.261%E +0.056%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -5.13%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 17:40
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.45%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.02%EV -1.25%E -0.275%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -2.55%E -0.568%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 17:33
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -11.30%E -5.98%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -2.55%E -0.568%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -1.04%E -0.330%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.64%EV -11.77%E -6.26%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.55%E -0.568%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -1.04%E -0.330%K -0.484%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -7.64%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -7.64%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:35
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -7.64%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.02%EV -6.61%E -3.32%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -13.18%E -7.12%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.72%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -2.61%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.80%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 17:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.24%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -2.61%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:29
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.26%EV -14.59%E -8.02%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.26%EV -14.59%E -8.02%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -6.88%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:40
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -7.97%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -8.27%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 17:40
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -7.97%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -8.27%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.97%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 16:25
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.05%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -4.18%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.52%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.05%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.52%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 17:35
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 16:25
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.89%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -9.89%E -5.15%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -5.75%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -11.77%E -6.26%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -4.18%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.08%EV -12.24%E -6.55%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.47%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.44%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-12 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.88%EV -14.12%E -7.72%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.75%EV -10.47%E -3.67%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.94%EV -16.00%E -8.94%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-12 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -12.71%E -6.83%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.68%EV -12.30%E -3.04%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.13%EV -11.41%E -4.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 17:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.38%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.89%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.19%EV -10.83%E -5.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -13.38%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:31
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -10.36%E -5.43%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.38%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -12.04%E -4.30%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-12 17:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-09-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-09-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.86%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%1.6%2026-09-12 17:40
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.1%2026-09-12 17:40
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.86%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%2.6%2026-09-12 17:40