The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Deportivo Riestra v Velez Sarsfield BA

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 17:45 UTC

Final: Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Velez Sarsfield BA

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prediction 36.73%2.72fair odd
EV +0.265%
Edge +0.097%
Kelly +0.153%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.12%36.78%36.78%38.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.552.7343.48%39.38%39.22%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit)

Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.41%29.31%29.33%30.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.123.3034.48%32.04%32.05%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.95%2.95fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.08%33.91%33.89%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.752.8640.00%36.83%36.36%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 36.73%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit): 29.32%; Draw: 33.95%. For Deportivo Riestra (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.265%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.17%EV +0.265%E +0.097%K +0.153%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%EV -8.52%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.71%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.29%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.61%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -3.91%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.29%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.61%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -3.91%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 17:35
BetAnything🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.29%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.61%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -3.91%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 17:33
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 17:20
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.05%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:34
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.05%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:35
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 17:35
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 17:20
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:25
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:40
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 17:35
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.24%E -0.983%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 17:25
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 17:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 17:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -13.42%E -5.26%K -8.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -13.42%E -5.26%K -8.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.12%EV -8.92%E -3.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -14.97%E -5.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -15.12%E -6.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 17:35
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 17:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -12.59%E -5.29%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.67%EV -8.52%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41%0.9%2026-08-29 17:40
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%1.6%2026-08-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%1.6%2026-08-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%1.6%2026-08-29 17:40
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.0%2026-08-29 17:35