Idioma:Español
Deportivo Riestra v Velez Sarsfield BA
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportivo Riestra (Local)
Predicción 36.73%2.72momio equitativo
EV +0.265%
Ventaja +0.097%
Kelly +0.153%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.12%36.78%36.78%38.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.542.552.7343.48%39.38%39.22%36.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante)
Predicción 29.32%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -0.983%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.41%29.31%29.33%30.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.123.123.3034.48%32.04%32.05%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.95%2.95momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.08%33.91%33.89%34.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.752.8640.00%36.83%36.36%34.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 36.73%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante): 29.32%; Empate: 33.95%. Para Deportivo Riestra (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.72. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.73, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.265%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.17%EV +0.265%E +0.097%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%EV -8.52%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.71%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.29%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.61%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -3.91%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.29%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.61%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -3.91%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.29%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.61%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -3.91%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 17:33 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.05%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.05%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 17:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.24%E -0.983%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -13.42%E -5.26%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -13.42%E -5.26%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.12%EV -8.92%E -3.60%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -14.97%E -5.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -15.12%E -6.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -12.59%E -5.29%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.67%EV -8.52%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |