Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Deportivo Riestra v Velez Sarsfield BA

Inizio: 2026-08-29 17:45 UTC

Finale: Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Velez Sarsfield BA

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Deportivo Riestra (Casa)

Previsione 36.73%2.72quota equa
EV +0.265%
Vantaggio +0.097%
Kelly +0.153%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.12%36.78%36.78%38.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.542.552.7343.48%39.38%39.22%36.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Velez Sarsfield BA (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.32%3.41quota equa
EV -3.24%
Vantaggio -0.983%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.41%29.31%29.33%30.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.123.123.3034.48%32.04%32.05%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 33.95%2.95quota equa
EV -2.89%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.08%33.91%33.89%34.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.712.752.8640.00%36.83%36.36%34.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Deportivo Riestra (Casa): 36.73%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Trasferta): 29.32%; Pareggio: 33.95%. Per Deportivo Riestra (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.72. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.73, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.265%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.17%EV +0.265%E +0.097%K +0.153%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%EV -8.52%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.71%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.29%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.61%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -3.91%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.29%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.61%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -3.91%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 17:35
BetAnything🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.29%EV -2.31%E -0.867%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.61%EV -4.42%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -3.91%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 17:33
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 17:20
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.05%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:34
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.05%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:35
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 17:35
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 17:20
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:25
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:40
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 17:35
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.24%E -0.983%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 17:25
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 17:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 17:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -13.42%E -5.26%K -8.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -13.42%E -5.26%K -8.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.12%EV -8.92%E -3.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -14.97%E -5.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -15.12%E -6.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 17:35
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 17:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -12.59%E -5.29%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.67%EV -8.52%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-29 17:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41%0.9%2026-08-29 17:40
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%1.6%2026-08-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%1.6%2026-08-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%1.6%2026-08-29 17:40
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.0%2026-08-29 17:35