Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo Riestra v Atlético Huracán

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 22:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prediction 34.63%2.89fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.712%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.72%34.59%34.81%35.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.682.702.8540.82%37.36%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visit)

Prediction 28.22%3.54fair odd
EV +0.174%
Edge +0.049%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.82%28.28%28.18%30.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.233.253.5534.72%30.95%30.77%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 37.16%2.69fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -0.931%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.43%37.13%37.01%38.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.502.502.6545.45%40.08%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 34.63%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 28.22%; Draw: 37.16%. For Atlético Huracán (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.174%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV +0.174%E +0.049%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.93%EV -6.74%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV +0.174%E +0.049%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.93%EV -6.74%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:50
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%EV -1.32%E -0.462%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -2.65%E -0.767%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 22:10
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -2.65%E -0.767%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -4.14%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 22:05
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 22:00
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:09
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.16%EV -5.47%E -2.00%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.75%EV -8.22%E -3.33%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 22:10
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 22:00
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -3.74%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -7.85%E -3.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 22:00
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -3.74%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -7.85%E -3.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 22:00
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 22:05
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 22:00
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:05
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 22:09
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 22:05
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 22:05
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 22:10
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.22%EV -12.40%E -4.90%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.11%EV -10.55%E -3.33%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -9.71%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 22:04
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.54%E -0.580%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.54%E -0.580%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.54%E -0.580%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.97%E -3.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -2.28%E -0.867%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 22:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.44%E -5.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -13.44%E -5.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-21 22:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.16%EV -14.47%E -5.86%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.35%E -5.12%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.89%EV -10.08%E -4.17%K -7.10%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.13%EV -15.17%E -6.19%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.87%EV -15.35%E -5.12%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.00%EV -18.26%E -8.30%K -15.21%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-21 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -18.73%E -6.50%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -14.54%E -6.32%K -11.19%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-21 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%0.6%2026-02-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-02-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-02-21 22:00
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-02-21 22:00
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.40%1.7%2026-02-21 22:00