L’École des cotes

Deportivo Riestra v Atlético Huracán

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 22:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prévision 34.63%2.89cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.462%
Kelly -0.712%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.72%34.59%34.81%35.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.682.702.8540.82%37.36%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético Huracán (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.22%3.54cote équitable
EV +0.174%
Avantage +0.049%
Kelly +0.068%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.82%28.28%28.18%30.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.233.253.5534.72%30.95%30.77%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 37.16%2.69cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.580%
Kelly -0.931%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.43%37.13%37.01%38.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.502.502.6545.45%40.08%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV +0.174%E +0.049%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.93%EV -6.74%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:50
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV +0.174%E +0.049%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.93%EV -6.74%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:50
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%EV -1.32%E -0.462%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -2.65%E -0.767%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 22:10
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -2.65%E -0.767%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -4.14%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 22:10
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 22:05
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 22:00
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:09
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:10
Marathon Bet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.16%EV -5.47%E -2.00%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.75%EV -8.22%E -3.33%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 22:10
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 22:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -3.74%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -7.85%E -3.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 22:00
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -3.74%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -7.85%E -3.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 22:00
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 22:00
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 22:05
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 22:00
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:05
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 22:09
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 22:05
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 22:05
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 22:10
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 22:05
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.22%EV -12.40%E -4.90%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.11%EV -10.55%E -3.33%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -9.71%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 22:04
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.54%E -0.580%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.54%E -0.580%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.54%E -0.580%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 22:05
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.97%E -3.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -2.28%E -0.867%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 22:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.44%E -5.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 22:05
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 22:00
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -13.44%E -5.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-21 22:05
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.16%EV -14.47%E -5.86%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.35%E -5.12%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.89%EV -10.08%E -4.17%K -7.10%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 22:10
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.13%EV -15.17%E -6.19%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.87%EV -15.35%E -5.12%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.00%EV -18.26%E -8.30%K -15.21%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-21 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -18.73%E -6.50%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -14.54%E -6.32%K -11.19%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-21 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%0.6%2026-02-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-02-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-02-21 22:00
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-02-21 22:00
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.40%1.7%2026-02-21 22:00