La escuela de los momios

Deportivo Riestra v Atlético Huracán

Inicio: 2026-02-21 22:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Predicción 34.63%2.89momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.462%
Kelly -0.712%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.72%34.59%34.81%35.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.682.702.8540.82%37.36%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlético Huracán (Visitante)

Predicción 28.22%3.54momio equitativo
EV +0.174%
Ventaja +0.049%
Kelly +0.068%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.82%28.28%28.18%30.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.5534.72%30.95%30.77%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 37.16%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.580%
Kelly -0.931%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.43%37.13%37.01%38.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.502.502.6545.45%40.08%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV +0.174%E +0.049%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.93%EV -6.74%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:50
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV +0.174%E +0.049%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.93%EV -6.74%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:50
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%EV -1.32%E -0.462%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -2.65%E -0.767%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 22:10
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -2.65%E -0.767%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -4.14%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 22:10
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 22:05
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 22:00
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:09
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:10
Marathon Bet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.16%EV -5.47%E -2.00%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.75%EV -8.22%E -3.33%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 22:10
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 22:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -3.74%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -7.85%E -3.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 22:00
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -3.74%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -7.85%E -3.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 22:00
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 22:00
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 22:05
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.28%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 22:00
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:05
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 22:09
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 22:05
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 22:05
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.78%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 22:10
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 22:05
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.22%EV -12.40%E -4.90%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.11%EV -10.55%E -3.33%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -9.71%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 22:04
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.54%E -0.580%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.54%E -0.580%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.54%E -0.580%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 22:05
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.97%E -3.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -6.51%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -2.28%E -0.867%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -8.24%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 22:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.44%E -5.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 22:05
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 22:00
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -13.44%E -5.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-21 22:05
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.16%EV -14.47%E -5.86%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.35%E -5.12%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.89%EV -10.08%E -4.17%K -7.10%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 22:10
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.13%EV -15.17%E -6.19%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.87%EV -15.35%E -5.12%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.00%EV -18.26%E -8.30%K -15.21%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-21 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -8.93%E -3.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -18.73%E -6.50%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -14.54%E -6.32%K -11.19%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-21 22:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%0.6%2026-02-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-02-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-02-21 22:00
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%0.8%2026-02-21 22:00
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.40%1.7%2026-02-21 22:00