Idioma:Português
Defensa y Justicia v Newells Old Boys
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Previsão 48.12%2.08odd justa
EV +8.27%
Vantagem +3.67%
Kelly +6.61%
Crescimento +0.547%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.16%47.91%48.11%50.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.951.952.2556.18%51.36%51.28%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Newells Old Boys (Visitante)
Previsão 21.94%4.56odd justa
EV +4.86%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescimento +0.063%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.78
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.07%22.18%21.92%26.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.504.124.104.7828.57%24.27%24.39%20.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 29.94%3.34odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.359%
Kelly -0.515%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.77%29.92%29.97%32.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.863.073.103.3034.97%32.56%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Defensa y Justicia (Local): 48.12%; Newells Old Boys (Visitante): 21.94%; Empate: 29.94%. Para Defensa y Justicia (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.08. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.27%.
Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV +8.27%E +3.67%K +6.61%G +0.547% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -23.22%E -6.63%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.38%EV -14.36%E -5.02%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV +1.05%E +0.499%K +0.953%G +0.010% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -15.54%E -4.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.84%E -0.901%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.35%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.84%E -0.901%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.35%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.05%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -15.54%E -4.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -2.38%E -0.534%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -2.38%E -0.534%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.45%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -15.54%E -4.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV -2.38%E -0.534%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -1.19%E -0.359%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.09%EV +0.475%E +0.104%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -2.38%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.09%EV +0.475%E +0.104%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -2.38%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -3.47%E -0.789%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -6.58%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.46%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -16.64%E -4.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.59%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -18.83%E -5.09%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.16%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.59%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -18.83%E -5.09%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.16%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%EV -7.61%E -3.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -19.93%E -5.46%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.40%EV -13.76%E -4.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.23%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.07%EV +4.86%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.70%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -1.28%E -0.284%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.68%E -0.825%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.47%E -0.789%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 20:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -9.54%E -5.07%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.05%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.02%E -5.36%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.02%E -5.36%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.20%EV -10.50%E -5.65%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.21%EV -10.98%E -5.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -10.05%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -11.07%E -3.73%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 20:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -10.98%E -5.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.16%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.62%EV -11.46%E -6.23%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.56%EV -8.96%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.18%EV -14.35%E -8.06%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -10.05%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.47%EV -11.07%E -3.73%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 47.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 22.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 30.63% | -2.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 20:20 |