Langue:Français
Defensa y Justicia v Newells Old Boys
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Prévision 48.12%2.08cote équitable
EV +8.27%
Avantage +3.67%
Kelly +6.61%
Croissance +0.547%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.16%47.91%48.11%50.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.951.952.2556.18%51.36%51.28%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Newells Old Boys (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.94%4.56cote équitable
EV +4.86%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.063%
avec la cote maximale 4.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.07%22.18%21.92%26.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.504.124.104.7828.57%24.27%24.39%20.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.94%3.34cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.359%
Kelly -0.515%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%29.92%29.97%32.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.863.073.103.3034.97%32.56%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Defensa y Justicia (Local) : 48.12% ; Newells Old Boys (Visiteur) : 21.94% ; Match nul : 29.94%. Pour Defensa y Justicia (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.08. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.25, soit une espérance positive de +8.27%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV +8.27%E +3.67%K +6.61%G +0.547% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -23.22%E -6.63%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.38%EV -14.36%E -5.02%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV +1.05%E +0.499%K +0.953%G +0.010% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -15.54%E -4.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.84%E -0.901%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.35%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.84%E -0.901%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.35%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.05%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -15.54%E -4.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -2.38%E -0.534%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -2.38%E -0.534%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.45%EV -4.73%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -15.54%E -4.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV -2.38%E -0.534%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -1.19%E -0.359%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.09%EV +0.475%E +0.104%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -2.38%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.09%EV +0.475%E +0.104%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -2.38%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -3.47%E -0.789%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -6.58%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.46%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -16.64%E -4.38%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.59%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -18.83%E -5.09%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.16%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.59%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -18.83%E -5.09%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.16%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%EV -7.61%E -3.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -19.93%E -5.46%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.40%EV -13.76%E -4.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.23%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.07%EV +4.86%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.70%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -1.28%E -0.284%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.68%E -0.825%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.47%E -0.789%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 20:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -9.54%E -5.07%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.05%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.02%E -5.36%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.02%E -5.36%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.86%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.20%EV -10.50%E -5.65%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.21%EV -10.98%E -5.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -10.05%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -11.07%E -3.73%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 20:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -10.98%E -5.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.16%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.62%EV -11.46%E -6.23%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.56%EV -8.96%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.18%EV -14.35%E -8.06%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -10.05%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.47%EV -11.07%E -3.73%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-09 20:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 47.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 22.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 30.63% | -2.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 20:20 |