赔率学院

Defensa y Justicia v Lanus

开赛时间： 2026-03-02 00:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Defensa y Justicia (主队)

预测 43.47%2.30公平赔率
EV -2.20%
优势 -0.979%
Kelly -1.76%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
41.93%43.36%43.64%44.29%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.902.142.152.2552.63%46.82%46.51%44.44%MIN均值中位数MAX

Lanus (客队)

预测 25.63%3.90公平赔率
EV -1.07%
优势 -0.276%
Kelly -0.373%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.86

博彩公司预测分布
24.19%25.73%25.49%27.91%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.253.553.553.8630.77%28.13%28.17%25.91%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 30.90%3.24公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -0.842%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
29.77%30.92%30.87%32.14%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.602.973.003.1538.46%33.63%33.33%31.75%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -2.65%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 00:14
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -2.65%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 00:14
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 00:14
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.71%EV -3.94%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -1.07%E -0.276%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.26%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-02 00:14
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 00:14
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 00:13
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 00:14
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-02 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 00:14
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.75%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -1.32%E -0.343%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.48%EV -6.36%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 00:00
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.75%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -1.32%E -0.343%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.48%EV -6.36%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 23:59
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.39%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.44%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 00:14
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -8.22%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 00:14
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -16.70%E -5.14%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-02 00:14
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -16.70%E -5.14%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-02 00:14
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:14
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 00:04
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 00:14
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.60%E -0.685%K -0.930%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 00:14
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 00:14
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 00:14
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 00:14
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 23:59
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.60%E -0.685%K -0.930%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -11.31%E -3.94%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-02 00:14
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-02 00:04
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-02 00:14
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-02 00:04
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -15.01%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-02 00:14
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.12%EV -12.20%E -6.04%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.42%EV -9.45%E -3.23%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-02 00:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-02 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-02 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -15.42%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -16.56%E -6.13%K -9.74%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-02 00:14
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.52%EV -17.42%E -9.17%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.68%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.80%EV -19.65%E -7.56%K -12.28%G +0.000%20.9%2026-03-02 00:14
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%1.1%2026-03-02 00:14
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%1.1%2026-03-02 00:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-03-02 00:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-03-02 00:14
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.0%2026-03-02 00:14