A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Defensa y Justicia v Lanus
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Previsão 43.47%2.30odd justa
EV -2.20%
Vantagem -0.979%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.93%43.36%43.64%44.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.142.152.2552.63%46.82%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Lanus (Visitante)
Previsão 25.63%3.90odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.276%
Kelly -0.373%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.86
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.19%25.73%25.49%27.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.553.553.8630.77%28.13%28.17%25.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 30.90%3.24odd justa
EV -2.65%
Vantagem -0.842%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.77%30.92%30.87%32.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.973.003.1538.46%33.63%33.33%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -2.65%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -2.65%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.71%EV -3.94%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -1.07%E -0.276%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.26%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 00:13 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.75%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -1.32%E -0.343%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.48%EV -6.36%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-02 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.75%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -1.32%E -0.343%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.48%EV -6.36%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.39%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.44%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -8.22%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -16.70%E -5.14%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -16.70%E -5.14%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 00:04 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.60%E -0.685%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 23:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.60%E -0.685%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -11.31%E -3.94%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-02 00:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-02 00:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -15.01%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.12%EV -12.20%E -6.04%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.42%EV -9.45%E -3.23%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-02 00:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-02 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-02 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -15.42%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -16.56%E -6.13%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.52%EV -17.42%E -9.17%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.68%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.80%EV -19.65%E -7.56%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 20.9% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78% | 1.5% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78% | 1.5% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13% | 2.0% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |