L’École des cotesFrançais
Defensa y Justicia v Lanus
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Prévision 43.47%2.30cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.979%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.93%43.36%43.64%44.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.142.152.2552.63%46.82%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lanus (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.63%3.90cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.276%
Kelly -0.373%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.19%25.73%25.49%27.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.553.553.8630.77%28.13%28.17%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.90%3.24cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.842%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.77%30.92%30.87%32.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.973.003.1538.46%33.63%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -2.65%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -2.65%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.71%EV -3.94%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -1.07%E -0.276%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.26%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 00:13 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.75%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -1.32%E -0.343%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.48%EV -6.36%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-02 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.75%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -1.32%E -0.343%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.48%EV -6.36%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.39%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.44%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -8.22%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -16.70%E -5.14%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -16.70%E -5.14%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 00:04 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.60%E -0.685%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 23:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.60%E -0.685%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -11.31%E -3.94%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-02 00:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-02 00:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -15.01%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.12%EV -12.20%E -6.04%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.42%EV -9.45%E -3.23%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-02 00:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-02 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-02 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -15.42%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -16.56%E -6.13%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.52%EV -17.42%E -9.17%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.68%EV -14.14%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.80%EV -19.65%E -7.56%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 20.9% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78% | 1.5% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78% | 1.5% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13% | 2.0% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |