Lingua:Italiano
Defensa y Justicia v Gimnasia Mendoza
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Defensa y Justicia (Casa)
Previsione 44.60%2.24quota equa
EV -5.01%
Vantaggio -2.35%
Kelly -4.43%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.74%44.62%44.57%45.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.072.102.1351.28%48.29%47.62%46.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Gimnasia Mendoza (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.47%3.93quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.506%
Kelly -0.684%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.72%25.49%25.48%26.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.613.603.8529.85%27.71%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 29.94%3.34quota equa
EV -4.21%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.56%29.89%29.95%30.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.103.103.2034.48%32.25%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Defensa y Justicia (Casa): 44.60%; Gimnasia Mendoza (Trasferta): 25.47%; Pareggio: 29.94%. Per Gimnasia Mendoza (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.93. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.85, con un valore atteso del -1.95%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.67%EV -5.01%E -2.35%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.22%E -0.848%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 04:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -1.95%E -0.506%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.33%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -1.95%E -0.506%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.33%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -1.95%E -0.506%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.33%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.80%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.87%EV -4.80%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 02:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 02:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 03:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.85%EV -5.90%E -2.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 17:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 02:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 02:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 03:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 03:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 03:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -7.24%E -3.48%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -7.24%E -3.48%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -7.24%E -3.48%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.28%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.60%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.58%E -4.18%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 22:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -8.58%E -4.18%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.58%E -4.18%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 03:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.58%E -4.18%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 20:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.58%E -4.18%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 03:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.81%E -5.40%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.39%EV -10.81%E -5.40%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -14.68%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -11.70%E -5.91%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -11.70%E -5.91%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.41%EV -11.70%E -5.91%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.11%EV -12.59%E -4.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.01%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 11:28 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.75%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.58%EV -11.69%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |