Langue:Français
Defensa y Justicia v Gimnasia Mendoza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Prévision 44.60%2.24cote équitable
EV -5.01%
Avantage -2.35%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.74%44.62%44.57%45.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.102.1351.28%48.29%47.62%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.47%3.93cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.506%
Kelly -0.684%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.72%25.49%25.48%26.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.613.603.8529.85%27.71%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.94%3.34cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.56%29.89%29.95%30.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.103.103.2034.48%32.25%32.26%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Defensa y Justicia (Local) : 44.60% ; Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur) : 25.47% ; Match nul : 29.94%. Pour Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.93. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.85, pour une espérance de -1.95% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.67%EV -5.01%E -2.35%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.22%E -0.848%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 04:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -1.95%E -0.506%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.33%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -1.95%E -0.506%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.33%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -1.95%E -0.506%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.33%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.80%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.87%EV -4.80%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 02:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 02:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.45%E -2.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 03:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.85%EV -5.90%E -2.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 17:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 02:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 02:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 03:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 03:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.35%E -3.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 03:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -7.24%E -3.48%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -7.24%E -3.48%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -7.24%E -3.48%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.28%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.60%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.58%E -4.18%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 22:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -8.58%E -4.18%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.58%E -4.18%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 03:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.58%E -4.18%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 20:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.58%E -4.18%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 03:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.81%E -5.40%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.39%EV -10.81%E -5.40%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -14.68%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -11.70%E -5.91%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -11.70%E -5.91%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.41%EV -11.70%E -5.91%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.11%EV -12.59%E -4.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.01%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -9.59%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 11:28 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.75%EV -13.04%E -6.69%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.58%EV -11.69%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |