Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.89
assuming max odds 2.43
assuming max odds 2.89
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Córdoba (Local): 25.64%; Platense (Visit): 40.68%; Draw: 33.69%. For Central Córdoba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.89, with an expected value of -0.280%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.86%EV -0.280%E -0.072%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.68%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.46%EV -2.64%E -0.914%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -0.536%E -0.138%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -0.536%E -0.138%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -0.536%E -0.138%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.27%EV -2.59%E -0.681%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.68%EV -4.00%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -5.00%E -1.77%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.59%E -0.681%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 20:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.35%EV -5.00%E -1.77%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.35%EV -5.00%E -1.77%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -6.69%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -7.02%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-20 19:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-20 19:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.00%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -9.00%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 20:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -11.74%E -4.48%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -14.58%E -6.94%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.78%E -6.31%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-20 19:37 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.73%EV -11.05%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.58%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-20 19:58 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -1.16%E -0.476%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 15:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -1.16%E -0.476%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 15:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -1.16%E -0.476%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 15:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 19:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.84%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.40%E -4.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-20 19:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.84%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-20 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -14.12%E -4.22%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -12.55%E -5.83%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-20 15:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-20 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 15:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.55%E -5.83%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-20 19:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30% | 1.4% | 2026-04-20 20:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.81% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96% | 3.0% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |