L’École des cotes

Central Córdoba v Platense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-20 20:15 UTC

Score final : Central Córdoba 4–3 Platense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prévision 25.64%3.90cote équitable
EV -0.280%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.097%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.55%25.66%25.68%27.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.583.583.8930.30%27.94%27.97%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Platense (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.68%2.46cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.476%
Kelly -0.808%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.78%40.60%40.59%41.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.302.4347.62%43.78%43.48%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.69%2.97cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.914%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.66%33.74%33.73%34.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.742.752.8940.00%36.48%36.36%34.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.86%EV -0.280%E -0.072%K -0.097%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.68%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.46%EV -2.64%E -0.914%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 20:00
LowVig.ag3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -0.536%E -0.138%K -0.186%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 19:59
BetOnline.ag3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -0.536%E -0.138%K -0.186%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 20:00
BetAnything3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -0.536%E -0.138%K -0.186%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 19:59
1xBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.27%EV -2.59%E -0.681%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.68%EV -4.00%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -5.00%E -1.77%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 20:10
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.59%E -0.681%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 19:59
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 19:59
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 20:04
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 20:10
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 20:00
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 20:09
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.35%EV -5.00%E -1.77%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 20:00
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.35%EV -5.00%E -1.77%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 20:00
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -6.69%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -7.02%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 20:10
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 19:54
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 20:00
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 19:54
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 19:59
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.00%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 20:10
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -9.00%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 20:09
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 20:05
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 20:09
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 20:10
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -11.74%E -4.48%K -7.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -14.58%E -6.94%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.78%E -6.31%K -10.52%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-20 19:37
Betclic (FR)3.47I 28.82%NM 25.73%EV -11.05%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.58%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-20 19:58
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -1.16%E -0.476%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 15:14
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -1.16%E -0.476%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 15:14
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -1.16%E -0.476%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 15:14
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 19:55
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.84%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.40%E -4.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-20 19:59
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.84%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-20 19:55
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -14.12%E -4.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -12.55%E -5.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-20 20:05
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 15:14
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 15:14
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.55%E -5.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-20 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%0.6%2026-04-20 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%0.9%2026-04-20 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%0.9%2026-04-20 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%0.9%2026-04-20 20:05
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30%1.4%2026-04-20 20:09
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.81%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%3.0%2026-04-20 20:10