La escuela de los momios

Central Córdoba v Platense

Inicio: 2026-04-20 20:15 UTC

Final: Central Córdoba 4–3 Platense

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Central Córdoba (Local)

Predicción 25.64%3.90momio equitativo
EV -0.280%
Ventaja -0.072%
Kelly -0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.55%25.66%25.68%27.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.583.583.8930.30%27.94%27.97%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Platense (Visitante)

Predicción 40.68%2.46momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.476%
Kelly -0.808%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.78%40.60%40.59%41.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.302.4347.62%43.78%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 33.69%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.914%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.66%33.74%33.73%34.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.742.752.8940.00%36.48%36.36%34.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.86%EV -0.280%E -0.072%K -0.097%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.68%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.46%EV -2.64%E -0.914%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 20:00
LowVig.ag3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -0.536%E -0.138%K -0.186%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 19:59
BetOnline.ag3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -0.536%E -0.138%K -0.186%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 20:00
BetAnything3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -0.536%E -0.138%K -0.186%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 19:59
1xBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.27%EV -2.59%E -0.681%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.68%EV -4.00%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -5.00%E -1.77%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 20:10
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.59%E -0.681%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 19:59
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 19:59
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 20:04
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 20:10
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 20:00
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 20:09
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.35%EV -5.00%E -1.77%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 20:00
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.35%EV -5.00%E -1.77%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 20:00
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -6.69%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -7.02%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 20:10
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 19:54
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 20:00
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 19:54
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 19:59
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.00%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 20:10
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -9.00%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 20:09
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 20:05
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 20:09
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 20:10
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -11.74%E -4.48%K -7.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -14.58%E -6.94%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.78%E -6.31%K -10.52%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-20 19:37
Betclic (FR)3.47I 28.82%NM 25.73%EV -11.05%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.58%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-20 19:58
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -1.16%E -0.476%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 15:14
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -1.16%E -0.476%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 15:14
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -1.16%E -0.476%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 15:14
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 19:55
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.84%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.40%E -4.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-20 19:59
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.84%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-20 19:55
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -14.12%E -4.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -12.55%E -5.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-20 20:05
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 15:14
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -5.22%E -2.24%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -5.63%E -2.43%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 15:14
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -15.40%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.55%E -5.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-20 19:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%0.6%2026-04-20 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%0.9%2026-04-20 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%0.9%2026-04-20 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%0.9%2026-04-20 20:05
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30%1.4%2026-04-20 20:09
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.81%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%3.0%2026-04-20 20:10