The School of Odds
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Central Córdoba v Independiente

2026-09-06 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 19.98%5.01fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -0.860%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.27%19.98%20.11%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.464.454.8425.00%22.41%22.47%20.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Independiente (Visit)

Prediction 51.11%1.96fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%51.11%50.97%51.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.801.9059.88%56.38%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.91%3.46fair odd
EV -6.03%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.35%28.91%28.91%30.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.39%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Central Córdoba (Local): 19.98%; Independiente (Visit): 51.11%; Draw: 28.91%. For Independiente (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.90, with an expected value of -2.89%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.84I 20.66%NM 19.63%EV -3.30%E -0.683%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.01%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.36%EV -9.50%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:19
Codere (IT)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -4.10%E -0.855%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.38%EV -8.00%E -4.45%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.93%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 18:20
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.10%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -6.03%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 18:24
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -8.10%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.48%E -2.34%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:24
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.10%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.00%E -4.45%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.03%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 19.41%EV -11.10%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.11%EV -13.63%E -8.06%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.48%EV -15.29%E -5.22%K -7.92%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-23 18:19
Paddy Power🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.09%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -8.00%E -4.45%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.37%E -3.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.41%EV -12.09%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.14%EV -14.65%E -8.77%K -21.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.45%EV -16.15%E -5.57%K -8.50%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-23 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.37%EV -14.09%E -3.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.92%EV -12.09%E -7.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -11.82%E -3.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-23 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -16.09%E -3.83%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -13.12%E -7.71%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -13.26%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-23 18:20
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -20.09%E -5.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.48%EV -10.56%E -6.03%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -13.26%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-23 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.