Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Central Córdoba v Independiente

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 20:00 UTC

Score final : Central Córdoba 0–1 Independiente

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prévision 30.29%3.30cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -0.958%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.41%30.37%30.20%31.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.063.103.2035.09%32.72%32.26%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Independiente (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.59%2.59cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.628%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%38.47%38.55%39.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.402.402.5543.48%41.62%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.12%3.21cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.625%
Kelly -0.916%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.08%31.15%31.25%32.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.963.003.1537.04%33.82%33.33%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Central Córdoba (Local) : 30.29% ; Independiente (Visiteur) : 38.59% ; Match nul : 31.12%. Pour Independiente (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.59. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.55, pour une espérance de -1.60% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -4.30%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -1.97%E -0.625%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -4.30%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -2.59%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -4.30%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -2.59%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 19:45
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -4.30%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -2.59%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 19:45
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:35
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:55
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -4.58%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.53%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 19:54
1xBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -5.19%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.61%EV -5.07%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.04%EV -4.77%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:54
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 19:40
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:55
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:55
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 19:54
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 19:35
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 19:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 19:35
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 19:40
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.70%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 19:53
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -4.30%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -12.86%E -4.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.60%E -0.628%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:30
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.53%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 19:50
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 19:49
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 19:35
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.19%EV -11.55%E -3.95%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.33%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -12.86%E -4.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -14.42%E -5.24%K -8.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -14.42%E -5.24%K -8.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 19:55
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.86%E -4.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.37%EV -12.76%E -4.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -9.32%E -3.97%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -15.97%E -5.92%K -9.40%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%EV -13.06%E -4.55%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.53%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.34%EV -11.31%E -3.97%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 19:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -13.67%E -4.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.26%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -11.31%E -3.97%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-06 19:55
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-09-06 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-09-06 19:50
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%3.2%2026-09-06 19:40