Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Central Córdoba v Independiente

Início: 2026-09-06 20:00 UTC

Final: Central Córdoba 0–1 Independiente

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Central Córdoba (Local)

Previsão 30.29%3.30odd justa
EV -3.07%
Vantagem -0.958%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.41%30.37%30.20%31.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.063.103.2035.09%32.72%32.26%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Independiente (Visitante)

Previsão 38.59%2.59odd justa
EV -1.60%
Vantagem -0.628%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.04%38.47%38.55%39.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.402.402.5543.48%41.62%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.12%3.21odd justa
EV -1.97%
Vantagem -0.625%
Kelly -0.916%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.08%31.15%31.25%32.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.963.003.1537.04%33.82%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Central Córdoba (Local): 30.29%; Independiente (Visitante): 38.59%; Empate: 31.12%. Para Independiente (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.59. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.55, com valor esperado de -1.60%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -4.30%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -1.97%E -0.625%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -4.30%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -2.59%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -4.30%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -2.59%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 19:45
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.19%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -4.30%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -2.59%E -0.828%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 19:45
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:35
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.07%E -0.958%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:55
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -4.58%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.53%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 19:54
1xBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -5.19%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.61%EV -5.07%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.04%EV -4.77%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:54
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 19:40
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:55
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:55
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 19:54
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 19:35
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 19:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 19:35
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 19:40
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.70%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 19:53
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -4.30%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -12.86%E -4.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.60%E -0.628%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:30
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.53%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 19:50
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 19:49
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 19:35
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.19%EV -11.55%E -3.95%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.33%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -12.86%E -4.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -14.42%E -5.24%K -8.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -14.42%E -5.24%K -8.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 19:55
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.86%E -4.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.37%EV -12.76%E -4.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -9.32%E -3.97%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -15.97%E -5.92%K -9.40%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%EV -13.06%E -4.55%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.53%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.34%EV -11.31%E -3.97%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 19:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -13.67%E -4.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.26%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -11.31%E -3.97%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 19:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-06 19:55
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-09-06 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-09-06 19:50
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%3.2%2026-09-06 19:40