Language:English
CA Tigre BA v Independiente Rivadavia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CA Tigre BA (Local)
Prediction 42.68%2.34fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.62%42.74%42.65%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.162.2550.00%46.29%46.30%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)
Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -0.184%
Edge -0.048%
Kelly -0.065%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.11%26.32%27.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.553.8131.25%28.25%28.17%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.12%3.21fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.629%
Kelly -0.921%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.74%31.15%31.03%32.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.973.003.1537.04%33.68%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Tigre BA (Local): 42.68%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visit): 26.20%; Draw: 31.12%. For Independiente Rivadavia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.81, with an expected value of -0.184%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.74%EV -5.67%E -2.56%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.37%EV -0.184%E -0.048%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.89%EV -2.60%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 20:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 20:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 20:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 20:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.52%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.98%E -0.629%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 20:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.61%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 20:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.61%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.446%E -0.117%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 20:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 20:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 20:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 20:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 20:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -8.66%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.38%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-02 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.84%EV -11.22%E -5.39%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.44%EV -11.71%E -3.48%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.11%EV -11.64%E -5.62%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.42%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.47%EV -13.81%E -4.98%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-02 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.38%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.38%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-02 20:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -14.63%E -7.32%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -15.98%E -5.92%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-04-02 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 1.7% | 2026-04-02 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-04-02 20:20 |