L’École des cotes

CA Tigre BA v Independiente Rivadavia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 20:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Prévision 42.68%2.34cote équitable
EV -3.96%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -3.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.62%42.74%42.65%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.162.2550.00%46.29%46.30%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.20%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.184%
Avantage -0.048%
Kelly -0.065%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%26.11%26.32%27.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.543.553.8131.25%28.25%28.17%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.12%3.21cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.629%
Kelly -0.921%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.74%31.15%31.03%32.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.973.003.1537.04%33.68%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:15
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 17:00
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 20:25
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 20:25
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 20:05
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.74%EV -5.67%E -2.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.37%EV -0.184%E -0.048%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.89%EV -2.60%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 20:25
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 20:24
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 20:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 20:24
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 20:03
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 20:15
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 20:25
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.52%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.98%E -0.629%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 20:24
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 20:20
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.61%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 20:24
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.61%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 20:25
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.446%E -0.117%K -0.159%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 20:19
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 20:14
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 20:14
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 20:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 20:09
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 20:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -8.66%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.38%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 20:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 20:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-02 20:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 20:20
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 20:15
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.84%EV -11.22%E -5.39%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.44%EV -11.71%E -3.48%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-02 20:20
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.11%EV -11.64%E -5.62%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.42%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.47%EV -13.81%E -4.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-02 20:25
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.38%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 20:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.38%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-02 20:20
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-02 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -14.63%E -7.32%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -15.98%E -5.92%K -9.40%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-02 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-02 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-02 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-02 20:20
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-02 20:15
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%1.7%2026-04-02 20:15
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-04-02 20:20