A Escola das Odds

CA Tigre BA v Independiente Rivadavia

Início: 2026-04-02 20:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Previsão 42.68%2.34odd justa
EV -3.96%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -3.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.62%42.74%42.65%44.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.162.2550.00%46.29%46.30%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante)

Previsão 26.20%3.82odd justa
EV -0.184%
Vantagem -0.048%
Kelly -0.065%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.78%26.11%26.32%27.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.543.553.8131.25%28.25%28.17%26.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.12%3.21odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -0.629%
Kelly -0.921%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.74%31.15%31.03%32.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.973.003.1537.04%33.68%33.33%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:15
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 17:00
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 20:25
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 20:25
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 20:05
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.74%EV -5.67%E -2.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.37%EV -0.184%E -0.048%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.89%EV -2.60%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 20:25
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 20:24
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 20:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 20:24
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 20:03
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 20:15
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.20%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 20:25
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.52%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.98%E -0.629%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 20:24
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 20:20
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.61%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 20:24
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.61%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 20:25
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.446%E -0.117%K -0.159%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 20:19
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 20:14
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 20:14
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 20:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 20:09
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 20:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -8.66%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.38%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 20:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.76%E -0.468%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 20:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.09%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-02 20:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 20:20
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.93%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 20:15
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.84%EV -11.22%E -5.39%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.44%EV -11.71%E -3.48%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-02 20:20
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.11%EV -11.64%E -5.62%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.42%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.47%EV -13.81%E -4.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-02 20:25
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.38%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 20:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.38%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-02 20:20
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-02 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -14.63%E -7.32%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -15.98%E -5.92%K -9.40%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-02 20:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-02 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-02 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-02 20:20
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-04-02 20:15
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%1.7%2026-04-02 20:15
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-04-02 20:20