Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.91
assuming max odds 5.71
assuming max odds 3.11
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Tigre BA (Local): 50.70%; Barracas Central (Visit): 18.28%; Draw: 31.02%. For Barracas Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.47. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.37%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.83%EV +4.37%E +0.765%K +0.928%G +0.041% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.49%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.38%EV +1.81%E +0.325%K +0.396%G +0.007% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -3.54%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.49%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.38%EV +1.81%E +0.325%K +0.396%G +0.007% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -3.54%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 23:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.49%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.38%EV +1.81%E +0.325%K +0.396%G +0.007% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -3.54%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 23:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.64%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -1.30%E -0.240%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.64%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -1.30%E -0.240%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.14%EV -10.25%E -5.79%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.30%E -0.240%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-01 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.96%EV -1.66%E -0.309%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -4.78%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.14%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.12%E -0.590%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 23:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.04%E -0.769%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -4.04%E -0.769%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-27 01:13 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -4.95%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 06:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.95%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 22:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.08%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.04%EV -10.67%E -3.71%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.08%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.04%EV -10.67%E -3.71%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-01 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.91%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.37%EV -11.35%E -2.34%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 23:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.68%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.26%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.39%EV -13.30%E -7.77%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-31 23:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.66%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.08%EV -12.53%E -4.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -13.18%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 09:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.51%EV -7.72%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -13.18%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 08:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -14.09%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.09%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.49%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 23:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-28 09:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.52%EV -10.76%E -6.11%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 01:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.56%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -17.75%E -3.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 23:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -21.40%E -4.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -21.40%E -4.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.20%EV -9.75%E -5.48%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.61%EV -22.32%E -5.25%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-31 23:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.79% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.63% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.63% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.22% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.95% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.40% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 00:10 |