Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CA Tigre BA v Barracas Central

Início: 2026-09-01 00:15 UTC

Final: CA Tigre BA 0–0 Barracas Central

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Previsão 50.70%1.97odd justa
EV -3.15%
Vantagem -1.65%
Kelly -3.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.20%50.66%50.67%52.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.711.831.841.9158.48%54.75%54.35%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barracas Central (Visitante)

Previsão 18.28%5.47odd justa
EV +4.37%
Vantagem +0.765%
Kelly +0.928%
Crescimento +0.041%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.83%18.40%18.27%20.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.254.975.005.7123.53%20.12%20.00%17.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.02%3.22odd justa
EV -3.54%
Vantagem -1.14%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.91%30.94%31.06%32.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.993.003.1135.71%33.44%33.33%32.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: CA Tigre BA (Local): 50.70%; Barracas Central (Visitante): 18.28%; Empate: 31.02%. Para Barracas Central (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.47. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.71, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.37%.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.83%EV +4.37%E +0.765%K +0.928%G +0.041%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.49%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.38%EV +1.81%E +0.325%K +0.396%G +0.007%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -3.54%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.49%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.38%EV +1.81%E +0.325%K +0.396%G +0.007%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -3.54%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 23:44
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.49%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.38%EV +1.81%E +0.325%K +0.396%G +0.007%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -3.54%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 23:45
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.64%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -1.30%E -0.240%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.64%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -1.30%E -0.240%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.14%EV -10.25%E -5.79%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.30%E -0.240%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.96%EV -1.66%E -0.309%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -4.78%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.14%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.12%E -0.590%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 23:58
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.04%E -0.769%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -4.04%E -0.769%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 01:13
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -4.95%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 06:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.95%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 23:55
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 15:30
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 00:05
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 22:09
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.08%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.04%EV -10.67%E -3.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-01 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.08%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.04%EV -10.67%E -3.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-01 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.91%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.37%EV -11.35%E -2.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 23:48
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.68%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 15:34
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.26%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-01 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.39%EV -13.30%E -7.77%K -18.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-31 23:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.66%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.08%EV -12.53%E -4.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-01 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -13.18%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 09:15
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.51%EV -7.72%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -13.18%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 08:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -14.09%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.09%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 00:20
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.49%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 23:45
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.52%EV -10.76%E -6.11%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.56%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -17.75%E -3.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -21.40%E -4.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -21.40%E -4.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.20%EV -9.75%E -5.48%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.61%EV -22.32%E -5.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 23:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.79%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07%0.6%2026-09-01 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.63%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-09-01 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.63%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-09-01 00:10
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.22%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-09-01 00:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.95%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.40%1.9%2026-09-01 00:10