Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CA Tigre BA v Barracas Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 00:15 UTC

Score final : CA Tigre BA 0–0 Barracas Central

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Prévision 50.70%1.97cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.20%50.66%50.67%52.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.711.831.841.9158.48%54.75%54.35%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barracas Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.28%5.47cote équitable
EV +4.37%
Avantage +0.765%
Kelly +0.928%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 5.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.83%18.40%18.27%20.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.254.975.005.7123.53%20.12%20.00%17.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.02%3.22cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.91%30.94%31.06%32.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.993.003.1135.71%33.44%33.33%32.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : CA Tigre BA (Local) : 50.70% ; Barracas Central (Visiteur) : 18.28% ; Match nul : 31.02%. Pour Barracas Central (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.47. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.71, soit une espérance positive de +4.37%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.83%EV +4.37%E +0.765%K +0.928%G +0.041%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.49%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.38%EV +1.81%E +0.325%K +0.396%G +0.007%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -3.54%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.49%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.38%EV +1.81%E +0.325%K +0.396%G +0.007%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -3.54%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 23:44
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.49%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.38%EV +1.81%E +0.325%K +0.396%G +0.007%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -3.54%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 23:45
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.64%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -1.30%E -0.240%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.64%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -1.30%E -0.240%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.14%EV -10.25%E -5.79%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.30%E -0.240%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.96%EV -1.66%E -0.309%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -4.78%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.14%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.12%E -0.590%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 23:58
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.04%E -0.769%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -4.04%E -0.769%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 01:13
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -4.95%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 06:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.95%E -0.952%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 23:55
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 15:30
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 00:05
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 22:09
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.08%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.04%EV -10.67%E -3.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-01 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.08%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.04%EV -10.67%E -3.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-01 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.91%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.37%EV -11.35%E -2.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 23:48
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.68%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 15:34
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.26%EV -11.27%E -6.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-01 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.39%EV -13.30%E -7.77%K -18.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-31 23:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.66%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.26%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.08%EV -12.53%E -4.44%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-01 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -13.18%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 09:15
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.51%EV -7.72%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -13.18%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 08:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -14.09%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -14.09%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 00:20
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.49%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 23:45
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.52%EV -10.76%E -6.11%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.56%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -17.75%E -3.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -21.40%E -4.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -21.40%E -4.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.20%EV -9.75%E -5.48%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.61%EV -22.32%E -5.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 23:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.79%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07%0.6%2026-09-01 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.63%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-09-01 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.63%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-09-01 00:10
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.22%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-09-01 00:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.95%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.40%1.9%2026-09-01 00:10