Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CA Tigre BA v Atlético Huracán

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 00:45 UTC

Final: CA Tigre BA 1–1 Atlético Huracán

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Prediction 36.43%2.74fair odd
EV +4.92%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +2.62%
Growth +0.129%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.37%36.60%36.52%40.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.522.552.8844.44%39.66%39.22%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visit)

Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV +2.65%
Edge +0.726%
Kelly +1.000%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%28.03%28.03%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.303.303.6535.71%30.29%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 35.45%2.82fair odd
EV -0.753%
Edge -0.269%
Kelly -0.418%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.62%35.37%35.46%37.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.622.8040.82%38.10%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Tigre BA (Local): 36.43%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 28.12%; Draw: 35.45%. For CA Tigre BA (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV +4.92%E +1.71%K +2.62%G +0.129%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.13%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:35
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.13%EV -2.36%E -0.882%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -1.85%E -0.530%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.13%EV -5.01%E -1.87%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 00:35
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 00:40
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.61%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 00:39
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 00:25
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -7.13%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 00:25
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -7.13%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 00:25
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -11.39%E -4.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 00:39
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 00:29
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 00:30
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:40
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 00:29
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.01%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -4.94%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -8.55%E -3.31%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 00:29
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 00:15
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 23:24
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 00:25
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 00:19
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.13%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 00:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.82%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 00:30
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -13.16%E -5.37%K -9.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 00:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -13.16%E -5.37%K -9.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -21.26%E -7.59%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -11.39%E -4.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-21 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.74%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -12.56%E -5.24%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.80%EV -8.91%E -3.46%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 00:20
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV +2.65%E +0.726%K +1.000%G +0.026%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -0.753%E -0.269%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV +2.65%E +0.726%K +1.000%G +0.026%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -0.753%E -0.269%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-21 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -9.61%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-21 00:20
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -15.48%E -6.67%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV +2.65%E +0.726%K +1.000%G +0.026%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -0.753%E -0.269%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 00:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.36%EV -15.48%E -6.67%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -12.82%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.67%EV -11.39%E -4.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-21 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -16.94%E -7.43%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -16.94%E -7.43%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -18.03%E -8.01%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%1.3%2026-04-21 00:40
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.0%2026-04-21 00:35