L’École des cotes

CA Tigre BA v Atlético Huracán

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 00:45 UTC

Score final : CA Tigre BA 1–1 Atlético Huracán

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Prévision 36.43%2.74cote équitable
EV +4.92%
Avantage +1.71%
Kelly +2.62%
Croissance +0.129%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.37%36.60%36.52%40.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.522.552.8844.44%39.66%39.22%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético Huracán (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.12%3.56cote équitable
EV +2.65%
Avantage +0.726%
Kelly +1.000%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%28.03%28.03%30.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.303.303.6535.71%30.29%30.30%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 35.45%2.82cote équitable
EV -0.753%
Avantage -0.269%
Kelly -0.418%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.62%35.37%35.46%37.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.622.622.8040.82%38.10%38.17%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV +4.92%E +1.71%K +2.62%G +0.129%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.13%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 00:35
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:34
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:35
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.13%EV -2.36%E -0.882%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -1.85%E -0.530%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.13%EV -5.01%E -1.87%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 00:35
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 00:40
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.61%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 00:39
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 00:25
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -7.13%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 00:25
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -7.13%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 00:25
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -11.39%E -4.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 00:39
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 00:29
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 00:30
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 00:29
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 00:25
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.01%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -4.94%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -8.55%E -3.31%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 00:29
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 00:20
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 00:15
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 23:24
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 00:25
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 00:19
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.13%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 00:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.82%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 00:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -13.16%E -5.37%K -9.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 00:40
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -13.16%E -5.37%K -9.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -21.26%E -7.59%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -11.39%E -4.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-21 00:30
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.74%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 00:20
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -12.56%E -5.24%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.80%EV -8.91%E -3.46%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 00:20
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV +2.65%E +0.726%K +1.000%G +0.026%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -0.753%E -0.269%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV +2.65%E +0.726%K +1.000%G +0.026%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -0.753%E -0.269%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-21 00:20
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -9.61%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-21 00:20
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -15.48%E -6.67%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV +2.65%E +0.726%K +1.000%G +0.026%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -0.753%E -0.269%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 00:25
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.36%EV -15.48%E -6.67%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -12.82%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.67%EV -11.39%E -4.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-21 00:35
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -16.94%E -7.43%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -16.94%E -7.43%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -18.03%E -8.01%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 00:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%1.3%2026-04-21 00:40
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.0%2026-04-21 00:35