A Escola das Odds

CA Tigre BA v Atlético Huracán

Início: 2026-04-21 00:45 UTC

Final: CA Tigre BA 1–1 Atlético Huracán

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Previsão 36.43%2.74odd justa
EV +4.92%
Vantagem +1.71%
Kelly +2.62%
Crescimento +0.129%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.37%36.60%36.52%40.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.522.552.8844.44%39.66%39.22%34.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Huracán (Visitante)

Previsão 28.12%3.56odd justa
EV +2.65%
Vantagem +0.726%
Kelly +1.000%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.79%28.03%28.03%30.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.303.303.6535.71%30.29%30.30%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 35.45%2.82odd justa
EV -0.753%
Vantagem -0.269%
Kelly -0.418%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.62%35.37%35.46%37.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.622.622.8040.82%38.10%38.17%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV +4.92%E +1.71%K +2.62%G +0.129%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.13%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 00:35
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:34
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:35
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.13%EV -2.36%E -0.882%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -1.85%E -0.530%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.13%EV -5.01%E -1.87%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 00:35
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 00:40
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.61%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 00:39
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 00:25
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -7.13%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 00:25
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -7.13%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 00:25
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -11.39%E -4.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 00:39
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 00:29
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 00:30
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 00:29
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 00:25
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.01%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -4.94%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -8.55%E -3.31%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 00:29
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 00:20
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 00:15
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 23:24
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 00:25
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 00:19
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.13%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 00:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.82%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 00:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -13.16%E -5.37%K -9.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 00:40
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -13.16%E -5.37%K -9.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -21.26%E -7.59%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -11.39%E -4.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-21 00:30
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.74%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 00:20
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -12.56%E -5.24%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.80%EV -8.91%E -3.46%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 00:20
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV +2.65%E +0.726%K +1.000%G +0.026%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -0.753%E -0.269%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV +2.65%E +0.726%K +1.000%G +0.026%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -0.753%E -0.269%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-21 00:20
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -14.39%E -6.12%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -9.61%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-21 00:20
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -15.48%E -6.67%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV +2.65%E +0.726%K +1.000%G +0.026%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -0.753%E -0.269%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 00:25
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.36%EV -15.48%E -6.67%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -12.82%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.67%EV -11.39%E -4.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-21 00:35
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -16.94%E -7.43%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -16.94%E -7.43%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -18.03%E -8.01%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 00:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%0.5%2026-04-21 00:40
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%1.3%2026-04-21 00:40
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.0%2026-04-21 00:35