La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Boca Juniors (Casa)
Previsione 54.37%1.84quota equa
EV -4.31%
Vantaggio -2.45%
Kelly -5.67%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.59%54.41%54.31%57.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.691.701.7664.94%59.14%58.82%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
San Lorenzo (Trasferta)
Previsione 16.09%6.22quota equa
EV +2.81%
Vantaggio +0.439%
Kelly +0.521%
Crescita +0.015%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.39
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.94%16.08%16.16%17.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.765.756.3920.00%17.35%17.39%15.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.54%3.38quota equa
EV +0.447%
Vantaggio +0.131%
Kelly +0.186%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.63%29.51%29.53%30.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.143.153.4035.71%31.85%31.75%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.80%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 15.02%EV +2.81%E +0.439%K +0.521%G +0.015% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -2.80%E -0.852%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.11%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.21%EV +2.00%E +0.316%K +0.375%G +0.008% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.02%EV -9.75%E -5.87%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV +0.555%E +0.089%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV +0.447%E +0.131%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.93%EV -10.29%E -6.24%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV +0.555%E +0.089%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -1.03%E -0.308%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV +0.555%E +0.089%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.78%EV -11.38%E -6.98%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -1.86%E -0.305%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV +0.447%E +0.131%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.59%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.74%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -13.01%E -8.13%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.52%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -6.68%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.64%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -6.68%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.16%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.65%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -8.29%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -7.23%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.36%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -9.90%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.80%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.34%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.69%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.75%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.75%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.31%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.19%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.49%EV -10.78%E -3.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-11 22:32 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.13%EV -14.10%E -8.92%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-11 22:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -13.12%E -2.43%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 22:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 54.33%EV -16.27%E -10.57%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 15.79%EV -14.73%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.88%EV -17.28%E -6.17%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.21%EV -15.53%E -2.96%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.89%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.53%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -17.95%E -3.52%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.01%EV -11.92%E -7.36%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.17%EV -19.56%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.82%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 22:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.63% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09% | 2.3% | 2026-03-11 22:40 |