La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boca Juniors (Local)
Predicción 54.37%1.84momio equitativo
EV -4.31%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -5.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.59%54.41%54.31%57.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.691.701.7664.94%59.14%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
San Lorenzo (Visitante)
Predicción 16.09%6.22momio equitativo
EV +2.81%
Ventaja +0.439%
Kelly +0.521%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.94%16.08%16.16%17.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.765.756.3920.00%17.35%17.39%15.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.54%3.38momio equitativo
EV +0.447%
Ventaja +0.131%
Kelly +0.186%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%29.51%29.53%30.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.143.153.4035.71%31.85%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.80%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 15.02%EV +2.81%E +0.439%K +0.521%G +0.015% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -2.80%E -0.852%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.11%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.21%EV +2.00%E +0.316%K +0.375%G +0.008% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.02%EV -9.75%E -5.87%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV +0.555%E +0.089%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV +0.447%E +0.131%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.93%EV -10.29%E -6.24%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV +0.555%E +0.089%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -1.03%E -0.308%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV +0.555%E +0.089%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.78%EV -11.38%E -6.98%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -1.86%E -0.305%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV +0.447%E +0.131%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.59%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.74%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -13.01%E -8.13%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.52%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -6.68%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.64%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -6.68%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.16%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.65%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -8.29%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -7.23%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.36%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -9.90%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.80%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.34%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.69%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.75%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.75%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.31%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.19%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.49%EV -10.78%E -3.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-11 22:32 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.13%EV -14.10%E -8.92%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-11 22:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -13.12%E -2.43%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 22:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 54.33%EV -16.27%E -10.57%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 15.79%EV -14.73%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.88%EV -17.28%E -6.17%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.21%EV -15.53%E -2.96%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.89%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.53%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -17.95%E -3.52%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.01%EV -11.92%E -7.36%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.17%EV -19.56%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.82%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 22:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.63% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09% | 2.3% | 2026-03-11 22:40 |