Langue:Français
Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prévision 54.37%1.84cote équitable
EV -4.31%
Avantage -2.45%
Kelly -5.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.59%54.41%54.31%57.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.691.701.7664.94%59.14%58.82%56.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
San Lorenzo (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.09%6.22cote équitable
EV +2.81%
Avantage +0.439%
Kelly +0.521%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 6.39
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.94%16.08%16.16%17.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.765.756.3920.00%17.35%17.39%15.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.54%3.38cote équitable
EV +0.447%
Avantage +0.131%
Kelly +0.186%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.63%29.51%29.53%30.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.143.153.4035.71%31.85%31.75%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Boca Juniors (Local) : 54.37% ; San Lorenzo (Visiteur) : 16.09% ; Match nul : 29.54%. Pour San Lorenzo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.22. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.39, soit une espérance positive de +2.81%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.80%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 15.02%EV +2.81%E +0.439%K +0.521%G +0.015% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -2.80%E -0.852%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.11%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.21%EV +2.00%E +0.316%K +0.375%G +0.008% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.02%EV -9.75%E -5.87%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV +0.555%E +0.089%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV +0.447%E +0.131%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.93%EV -10.29%E -6.24%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV +0.555%E +0.089%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -1.03%E -0.308%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV +0.555%E +0.089%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.78%EV -11.38%E -6.98%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -1.86%E -0.305%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV +0.447%E +0.131%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.59%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.74%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -13.01%E -8.13%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.47%E -0.578%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -3.98%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.52%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -6.68%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.64%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -6.68%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.16%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.65%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.49%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -8.29%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -7.23%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.36%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -9.90%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.80%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.34%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -4.86%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.69%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.42%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.75%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.75%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.31%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.19%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.49%EV -10.78%E -3.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-11 22:32 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.13%EV -14.10%E -8.92%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-11 22:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -13.12%E -2.43%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-11 22:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 54.33%EV -16.27%E -10.57%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 15.79%EV -14.73%E -2.78%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.88%EV -17.28%E -6.17%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.57%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.21%EV -15.53%E -2.96%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.89%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.53%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -17.95%E -3.52%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.01%EV -11.92%E -7.36%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.17%EV -19.56%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.82%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.63% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09% | 2.3% | 2026-03-11 22:40 |