Langue:Français
Boca Juniors v Lanus
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prévision 49.47%2.02cote équitable
EV -4.53%
Avantage -2.35%
Kelly -4.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.11%49.50%49.47%51.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.861.871.9356.50%53.67%53.48%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lanus (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.95%4.77cote équitable
EV +4.76%
Avantage +0.951%
Kelly +1.19%
Croissance +0.057%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.32%20.91%21.00%22.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.454.405.0025.32%22.49%22.73%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.58%3.38cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.448%
Kelly -0.640%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.41%29.58%29.54%31.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.153.3335.71%32.08%31.75%30.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Boca Juniors (Local) : 49.47% ; Lanus (Visiteur) : 20.95% ; Match nul : 29.58%. Pour Lanus (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.77. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.76%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV +4.76%E +0.951%K +1.19%G +0.057% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -1.49%E -0.448%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV +4.76%E +0.951%K +1.19%G +0.057% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -1.49%E -0.448%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV +4.76%E +0.951%K +1.19%G +0.057% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -1.49%E -0.448%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -9.48%E -5.18%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV +0.566%E +0.118%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.29%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.93%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.24%EV -0.272%E -0.057%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -4.45%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.03%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -0.482%E -0.101%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.32%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -0.482%E -0.101%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -1.53%E -0.325%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -1.53%E -0.325%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -2.58%E -0.554%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -2.58%E -0.554%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.11%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -3.62%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -14.80%E -5.14%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.15%EV -4.88%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -7.00%E -3.73%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -9.48%E -5.18%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.29%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.81%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.81%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -7.70%E -2.47%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -8.86%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.86%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -15.69%E -5.51%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.86%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -15.69%E -5.51%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -9.28%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -8.29%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -9.28%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -9.28%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -9.91%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.31%EV -9.91%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.18%EV -17.17%E -6.13%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.62%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.29%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.48%E -5.18%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -12.44%E -7.03%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.54%EV -12.14%E -4.09%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.76%EV -9.48%E -5.18%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -13.05%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.26%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -14.10%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -14.10%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.29%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -12.44%E -7.03%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -15.15%E -3.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -9.77%E -3.20%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -7.99%E -4.30%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.78%EV -8.98%E -4.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -17.24%E -4.37%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.32% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |