Idioma:Español
Boca Juniors v Lanus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boca Juniors (Local)
Predicción 49.47%2.02momio equitativo
EV -4.53%
Ventaja -2.35%
Kelly -4.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.11%49.50%49.47%51.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.771.861.871.9356.50%53.67%53.48%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lanus (Visitante)
Predicción 20.95%4.77momio equitativo
EV +4.76%
Ventaja +0.951%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.32%20.91%21.00%22.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.954.454.405.0025.32%22.49%22.73%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.58%3.38momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.448%
Kelly -0.640%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.41%29.58%29.54%31.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.153.3335.71%32.08%31.75%30.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boca Juniors (Local): 49.47%; Lanus (Visitante): 20.95%; Empate: 29.58%. Para Lanus (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.77. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.76%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV +4.76%E +0.951%K +1.19%G +0.057% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -1.49%E -0.448%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV +4.76%E +0.951%K +1.19%G +0.057% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -1.49%E -0.448%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV +4.76%E +0.951%K +1.19%G +0.057% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -1.49%E -0.448%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -9.48%E -5.18%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV +0.566%E +0.118%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.29%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.93%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.24%EV -0.272%E -0.057%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -4.45%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.03%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -0.482%E -0.101%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.32%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -0.482%E -0.101%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -1.53%E -0.325%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -1.53%E -0.325%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -2.58%E -0.554%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.02%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -2.58%E -0.554%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.11%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -3.62%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -14.80%E -5.14%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.15%EV -4.88%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -2.38%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -7.00%E -3.73%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -9.48%E -5.18%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.29%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.72%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.81%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.81%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -7.70%E -2.47%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -8.86%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.86%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -15.69%E -5.51%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.86%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -15.69%E -5.51%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -9.28%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -8.29%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -9.28%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -9.28%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -4.53%E -2.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -9.91%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.31%EV -9.91%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.18%EV -17.17%E -6.13%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.16%EV -5.02%E -2.62%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.29%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.48%E -5.18%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -12.44%E -7.03%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.54%EV -12.14%E -4.09%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.76%EV -9.48%E -5.18%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -13.05%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -11.25%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.26%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -14.10%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -14.10%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.29%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -12.44%E -7.03%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -15.15%E -3.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -9.77%E -3.20%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -7.99%E -4.30%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.78%EV -8.98%E -4.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -17.24%E -4.37%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -6.82%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.32% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |