Language:English
Boca Juniors v Atlético Huracán
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prediction 52.76%1.90fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +0.949%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.89%52.61%52.83%54.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.761.751.9361.35%56.78%57.14%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético Huracán (Visit)
Prediction 17.17%5.82fair odd
EV +5.62%
Edge +0.914%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.061%
assuming max odds 6.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.41%17.24%17.05%19.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.325.256.1522.22%18.81%19.05%16.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.06%3.33fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%30.15%30.13%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.073.103.2535.09%32.57%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boca Juniors (Local): 52.76%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 17.17%; Draw: 30.06%. For Atlético Huracán (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.82. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.61%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.49%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.49%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.49%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.16%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +3.05%E +0.508%K +0.609%G +0.019% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.25%E -5.38%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV +3.05%E +0.508%K +0.609%G +0.019% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -1.25%E -0.217%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.09%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -1.25%E -0.217%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.48%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.41%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.83%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.83%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.31%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -7.26%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 21:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.94%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.61%EV -8.12%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.94%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.61%EV -8.12%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.68%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -8.12%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -6.20%E -1.99%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.67%EV -10.83%E -6.41%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.38%EV -11.92%E -4.07%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.78%EV -9.25%E -5.38%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -10.69%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -8.31%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.59%EV -14.00%E -8.59%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -10.69%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.04%EV +1.83%E +0.949%K +1.97%G +0.036% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.61%EV -10.87%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -7.41%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.41%EV -12.41%E -7.48%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.06%EV -12.41%E -2.43%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.32%E -5.02%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -14.13%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -14.13%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -15.85%E -3.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -15.85%E -3.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -11.36%E -6.76%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.93%EV -15.85%E -3.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV +0.777%E +0.407%K +0.854%G +0.007% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:47 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -19.28%E -4.10%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -21.00%E -4.56%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -11.89%E -7.12%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -22.72%E -5.05%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -13.42%E -4.66%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.22% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |