La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Boca Juniors v Atlético Huracán
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boca Juniors (Local)
Predicción 52.76%1.90momio equitativo
EV +1.83%
Ventaja +0.949%
Kelly +1.97%
Crecimiento +0.036%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.89%52.61%52.83%54.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.761.751.9361.35%56.78%57.14%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlético Huracán (Visitante)
Predicción 17.17%5.82momio equitativo
EV +5.62%
Ventaja +0.914%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.061%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.41%17.24%17.05%19.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.325.256.1522.22%18.81%19.05%16.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.06%3.33momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.706%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.09%30.15%30.13%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.073.103.2535.09%32.57%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.61%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.49%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.49%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.49%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.16%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +3.05%E +0.508%K +0.609%G +0.019% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.25%E -5.38%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV +3.05%E +0.508%K +0.609%G +0.019% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -1.25%E -0.217%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.09%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -1.25%E -0.217%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.48%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.41%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.83%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.83%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:48 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.31%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -7.26%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 21:43 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.94%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.61%EV -8.12%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.94%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.61%EV -8.12%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.68%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -8.12%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -6.20%E -1.99%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.67%EV -10.83%E -6.41%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.38%EV -11.92%E -4.07%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.78%EV -9.25%E -5.38%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -10.69%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -8.31%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.59%EV -14.00%E -8.59%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -10.69%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.04%EV +1.83%E +0.949%K +1.97%G +0.036% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.61%EV -10.87%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -7.41%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.41%EV -12.41%E -7.48%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.06%EV -12.41%E -2.43%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.32%E -5.02%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -14.13%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -14.13%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -15.85%E -3.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 21:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -15.85%E -3.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -11.36%E -6.76%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.93%EV -15.85%E -3.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV +0.777%E +0.407%K +0.854%G +0.007% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:47 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -19.28%E -4.10%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -21.00%E -4.56%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -11.89%E -7.12%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -22.72%E -5.05%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -13.42%E -4.66%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.22% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 21:55 |