A Escola das Odds

Boca Juniors v Atlético Huracán

Início: 2026-05-09 22:00 UTC

Final: Boca Juniors 2–3 Atlético Huracán

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boca Juniors (Local)

Previsão 52.76%1.90odd justa
EV +1.83%
Vantagem +0.949%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescimento +0.036%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.89%52.61%52.83%54.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.631.761.751.9361.35%56.78%57.14%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Huracán (Visitante)

Previsão 17.17%5.82odd justa
EV +5.62%
Vantagem +0.914%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescimento +0.061%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.41%17.24%17.05%19.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.325.256.1522.22%18.81%19.05%16.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.06%3.33odd justa
EV -2.30%
Vantagem -0.706%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.09%30.15%30.13%31.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.073.103.2535.09%32.57%32.26%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.61%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.49%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:49
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.49%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:49
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.49%EV +5.62%E +0.914%K +1.09%G +0.061%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 21:50
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.16%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +3.05%E +0.508%K +0.609%G +0.019%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:49
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.25%E -5.38%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV +3.05%E +0.508%K +0.609%G +0.019%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 21:54
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -1.25%E -0.217%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.09%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -1.25%E -0.217%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.48%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.41%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:50
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.83%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 21:50
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.83%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 21:54
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 21:48
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 21:54
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -5.54%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 21:54
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.31%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -7.26%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 21:43
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.94%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.61%EV -8.12%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 21:50
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.94%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.61%EV -8.12%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 21:49
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.68%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -8.12%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -6.20%E -1.99%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 21:49
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 21:50
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.67%EV -10.83%E -6.41%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.38%EV -11.92%E -4.07%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.78%EV -9.25%E -5.38%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -10.69%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -8.31%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 21:54
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.59%EV -14.00%E -8.59%K -22.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -10.69%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-09 21:55
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.04%EV +1.83%E +0.949%K +1.97%G +0.036%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.61%EV -10.87%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -7.41%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.41%EV -12.41%E -7.48%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.06%EV -12.41%E -2.43%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.32%E -5.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-09 21:49
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -14.13%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 21:54
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -14.13%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.30%E -0.706%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 21:54
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -15.85%E -3.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 21:39
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -15.85%E -3.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -11.36%E -6.76%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.93%EV -15.85%E -3.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 21:54
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV +0.777%E +0.407%K +0.854%G +0.007%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 21:47
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 21:54
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -17.56%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -6.80%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 21:54
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -19.28%E -4.10%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -11.31%E -3.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 21:49
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -21.00%E -4.56%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -11.89%E -7.12%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -22.72%E -5.05%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -13.42%E -4.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-09 21:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%1.0%2026-05-09 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%1.0%2026-05-09 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%1.0%2026-05-09 21:54
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.08%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%1.0%2026-05-09 21:54
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-05-09 21:50
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.22%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%1.3%2026-05-09 21:55