Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.57
assuming max odds 3.63
assuming max odds 2.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barracas Central (Local): 37.84%; Platense (Visit): 28.16%; Draw: 34.00%. For Platense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.23%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV +2.23%E +0.615%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.08%EV -6.85%E -2.50%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV +1.39%E +0.386%K +0.534%G +0.007% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV +1.39%E +0.386%K +0.534%G +0.007% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV +1.39%E +0.386%K +0.534%G +0.007% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.66%EV -2.75%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -4.64%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -5.49%E -1.97%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -4.64%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -5.49%E -1.97%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 17:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -9.31%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.77%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.78%EV -9.31%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.15%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.16%E -2.48%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -14.86%E -6.60%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -11.29%E -3.58%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.87%EV -12.21%E -5.26%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.10%E -4.62%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -14.10%E -4.62%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -14.10%E -4.62%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -15.51%E -5.17%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.53% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.53% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.53% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.65% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.35% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.48% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |