默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Barracas Central v Platense

开赛时间: 2026-08-23 17:45 UTC

最终结果: Barracas Central 1–2 Platense

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Barracas Central (主队)

预测 37.84%2.64公平赔率
EV -2.75%
优势 -1.07%
Kelly -1.75%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.57

博彩公司预测分布
36.60%37.87%37.74%38.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.452.452.5744.44%40.78%40.82%38.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

Platense (客队)

预测 28.16%3.55公平赔率
EV +2.23%
优势 +0.615%
Kelly +0.849%
增长率 +0.019%

假设最高赔率为 3.63

博彩公司预测分布
26.48%28.14%28.23%29.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.273.253.6333.33%30.59%30.77%27.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 34.00%2.94公平赔率
EV -3.11%
优势 -1.09%
Kelly -1.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
32.88%33.99%34.03%35.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.722.752.8539.22%36.80%36.36%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Barracas Central (主队):37.84%;Platense (客队):28.16%;平局:34.00%。 对于“Platense (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.55。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.63,对应+2.23%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV +2.23%E +0.615%K +0.849%G +0.019%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.08%EV -6.85%E -2.50%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV +1.39%E +0.386%K +0.534%G +0.007%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV +1.39%E +0.386%K +0.534%G +0.007%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:29
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV +1.39%E +0.386%K +0.534%G +0.007%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:29
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.66%EV -2.75%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 17:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 17:35
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 17:34
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 17:24
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -4.64%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -5.49%E -1.97%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 17:29
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -4.64%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -5.49%E -1.97%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 17:39
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 17:34
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 17:34
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:25
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 17:34
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 17:39
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 17:34
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 17:29
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 17:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -9.31%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.77%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.78%EV -9.31%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.15%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 17:34
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.16%E -2.48%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 17:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -14.86%E -6.60%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-23 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -11.29%E -3.58%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 17:35
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 17:29
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 17:34
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.87%EV -12.21%E -5.26%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.10%E -4.62%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 17:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -14.10%E -4.62%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -14.10%E -4.62%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -15.51%E -5.17%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 17:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%0.9%2026-08-23 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%0.9%2026-08-23 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%0.9%2026-08-23 17:35
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.65%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%1.0%2026-08-23 17:29
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.48%1.4%2026-08-23 17:40