Idioma:Español
Barracas Central v Platense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Barracas Central (Local)
Predicción 37.84%2.64momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.60%37.87%37.74%38.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.452.5744.44%40.78%40.82%38.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Platense (Visitante)
Predicción 28.16%3.55momio equitativo
EV +2.23%
Ventaja +0.615%
Kelly +0.849%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.48%28.14%28.23%29.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.253.6333.33%30.59%30.77%27.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 34.00%2.94momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.88%33.99%34.03%35.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.722.752.8539.22%36.80%36.36%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Barracas Central (Local): 37.84%; Platense (Visitante): 28.16%; Empate: 34.00%. Para Platense (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.55. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.63, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.23%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV +2.23%E +0.615%K +0.849%G +0.019% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.08%EV -6.85%E -2.50%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV +1.39%E +0.386%K +0.534%G +0.007% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV +1.39%E +0.386%K +0.534%G +0.007% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV +1.39%E +0.386%K +0.534%G +0.007% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.66%EV -2.75%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -3.96%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 17:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -4.64%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -5.49%E -1.97%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.61%EV -4.64%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -5.49%E -1.97%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 17:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -9.31%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.77%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.78%EV -9.31%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.15%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.16%E -2.48%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -14.86%E -6.60%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -11.29%E -3.58%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.87%EV -12.21%E -5.26%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.10%E -4.62%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -14.10%E -4.62%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -14.10%E -4.62%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -15.51%E -5.17%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.53% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.53% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.53% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.65% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 17:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.35% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.48% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |